The latest edition of Chance News was posted two days ago. There are some tricky probability questions, even more difficult than the Monte Hall problem, in this edition. One revolves around implicit assumptions about a prior distribution, even though the article doesn’t explicitly say so.
It's time to clear a little of my mental closet. I've added links to three new blogs on the right. They're slightly nontraditional, but I enjoy almost every article. In one of them, I am Facing Foreclosure, the author's losing it. I hope for the best, but it makes for great reading. The problem with most blogs is that there's nothing ongoing. Most people want to talk about something that's better suited in book form. For example, there's very little new each week about how to market a start-up company.
Ray is visiting me for the last two weeks of November. We're scheduled to hike the Milford Track and scuba dive. I've never dived before and hope that I won't be attack by a giant squid. I hoped to visit a friend in Manila in early December, but that trip has fallen through. The trip would've been too short for too much money. I can refocus on traveling to northern Australia and Japan.
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